The political map of the Horn of Africa is being redrawn. Driven by global investments, shifting Red Sea trade, and internal crises, coastal ports and inland logistics hubs are emerging as new power centers that bypass traditional state capitals. This shift is fundamentally altering the region's political geography, redistributing economic wealth, and redefining who holds authority.
Rather than viewing these transformations solely through top-down geopolitics, this project investigates how local elites and communities navigate and leverage this influx of resources. Recognizing these shifting dynamics provides vital insights into the evolving drivers of conflict, future political settlements, and pathways to lasting stability. The project is funded by the UK International Development’s Cross-Border Conflict Evidence, Policy and Trends (XCEPT) Research Fund.